trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 25% | 25% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 25% | 25% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 25% | 25% | -9.6% |
| all | 16 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 25% | 25% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +3.4% | 25% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -6.5% | 19% | -18.3% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -15.6% | 19% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -23.8% | 6% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 17 | $8,681 | −$10 | -0% |
| Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elect | Jun 17 | $4,478 | −$6 | -0% |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Jun 17 | $824 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Jun 17 | $1,369 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 17 | $19,206 | −$22 | -0% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 mee | Jun 16 | $756 | −$1 | -0% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 16 | $480 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +223% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 15 | $595 | −$1 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $111 | $0 | -0% |