Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:53:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2D 0x2d1a…7796 crypto 501 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%494W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day61.8pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$8
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% $0
other 18% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 366 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 501 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 501 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.7%
all 501 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses494 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)501 / 501
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day61.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 501 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 995 history records