Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d21…6dfe
other · 497 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$110 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$410
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses26 / 43
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions451
Markets (closed)69 / 497
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day910.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 451 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Congo DR be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 18¢ $2 $11 +$9 (+444%)
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Sean Brady in his next UFC bout? Yes 3¢ 44¢ $1 $11 +$10 (+1367%)
Will s1zzi have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Yes 48¢ 55¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will molodoy have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Yes 7¢ 20¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+175%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mitch Marner lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? No 45¢ 64¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+42%)
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 37¢ 38¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Portugal finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Tunisia be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 78¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 45¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Mohamed Salah record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $1 $5 +$3 (+219%)
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 15? No 0¢ 0¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? No 31¢ 64¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+106%)
Will Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 23¢ 34¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+48%)
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+217%)
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 3¢ 23¢ $0 $4 +$3 (+667%)
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 55¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? No 68¢ 70¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week? No 20¢ 70¢ $1 $4 +$2 (+250%)
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Yes 3¢ 6¢ $2 $3 +$2 (+89%)
Will sh1ro have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Yes 12¢ 20¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+70%)
Will South Korea be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+24%)
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? Yes 35¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 13 $1 +$3 +172%
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +541%
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June? Jun 13 $9 +$6 +62%
Will FURIA qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Will Jordan Staal lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? Jun 13 $0 $0 +596%
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Will Brazil be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -55%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 15? Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 -87%
Will South Africa be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Gr Jun 13 $2 −$1 -78%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 15? Jun 13 $0 $0 -76%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 -82%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 +208%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -69%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 -72%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Will Germany be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 13 $6 +$5 +86%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next? Jun 13 $0 $0 +17%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 +12%
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for Jun 13 $0 $0 +256%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -59%
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? Jun 12 $0 $0 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Will Scotland be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 12 $0 $0 -25%
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -93%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 12 $7 $0 -3%
Will Trump say "Oman" this week? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -37%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16 Jun 12 $0 $0 -80%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -74%
Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -37%
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% +$32
politics 13% +$6
crypto 8% −$42
sports 6% +$13
world 4% −$3
economics 2% −$1
tech 1% +$1
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16 SELL Yes 3¢ $0 8m
Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 9m
Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 11m
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 11m
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL Yes 46¢ $3 11m
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? BUY No 14¢ $1 12m
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 16m
Will Cape Verde be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16m
Will Cape Verde be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16m
Will Czechia be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY Yes 14¢ $1 18m
Will New Zealand be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL Yes 22¢ $2 22m
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL Yes 47¢ $5 27m
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June? SELL No 1¢ $0 30m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market c BUY Yes 6¢ $0 32m
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 35m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market c SELL Yes 7¢ $0 37m
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 44m
Will Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL Yes 15¢ $1 48m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market c BUY Yes 7¢ $0 51m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market c BUY Yes 7¢ $0 51m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market c BUY Yes 7¢ $0 51m
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL Yes 44¢ $3 51m
Will Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL Yes 15¢ $1 51m
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL No 57¢ $0 52m
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL No 57¢ $4 52m
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 14? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 53m
Will Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL Yes 15¢ $1 54m
Will Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL Yes 15¢ $1 57m
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 1h
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June SELL Yes 41¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 30% -7.6%
≤30d 69 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 30% -7.6%
≤90d 69 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 30% -7.6%
all 69 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 30% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover910.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.5% 30% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -9.1% 22% -16.4%
15% -17.9% 20% -24.5%
20% -25.9% 17% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $409.63 · official $394.73 · 3500 history records