Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:42:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d39…6053
sports · 169 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,037 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,619 · open +$6,585
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31,335
Realized−$3,619
Unrealized+$6,585
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses90 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$11,191
Open positions12
Markets (closed)184 / 169
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4,833
Trades / day395.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,392
7 days−$6,008
14 days−$3,619
30 days−$3,619
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 67¢ 86¢ $6,676 $8,650 +$1,974 (+30%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 32¢ 100¢ $2,564 $7,996 +$5,432 (+212%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 55¢ 100¢ $3,302 $5,953 +$2,651 (+80%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 35¢ 81¢ $1,400 $3,260 +$1,860 (+133%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 60¢ 100¢ $1,198 $1,985 +$787 (+66%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 65¢ 86¢ $1,300 $1,730 +$430 (+33%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 25¢ 18¢ $821 $603 −$218 (-27%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 65¢ 72¢ $314 $352 +$38 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 24¢ 14¢ $623 $348 −$275 (-44%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 76¢ 100¢ $238 $313 +$76 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 13¢ 14¢ $130 $135 +$5 (+4%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 33¢ 0¢ $3,509 $5 −$3,504 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 13¢ 0¢ $117 $4 −$112 (-96%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 27¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$269 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 30¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 15¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 38¢ 0¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 29¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 33¢ 0¢ $1,125 $0 −$1,125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 61¢ 0¢ $2,194 $0 −$2,194 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 47¢ 0¢ $1,240 $0 −$1,240 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 48¢ 0¢ $3,801 $0 −$3,801 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 34¢ 0¢ $436 $0 −$436 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 22¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $700 −$700 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,775 −$1,201 -68%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,050 −$1,136 -108%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $474 −$442 -93%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $935 −$935 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $397 −$397 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $641 −$586 -91%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $988 −$988 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,095 +$101 +9%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,057 −$2,434 -118%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 12 $1,772 −$1,269 -72%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $615 +$1,325 +216%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$1,068 +3245%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $47 +$619 +1312%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $401 +$1,956 +488%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,005 −$991 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $384 −$384 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,073 −$506 -47%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $396 −$237 -60%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $255 −$216 -85%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $970 −$147 -15%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,235 −$1,351 -109%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $56 −$53 -95%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $343 −$343 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,341 −$4,290 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,726 −$1,543 -89%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3,393 +$740 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,458 +$565 +39%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $662 +$459 +69%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,698 +$2,341 +87%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,324 +$709 +16%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15,231 −$2,278 -15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,001 +$6,166 +77%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13,417 −$1,278 -10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,635 +$1,829 +24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,404 −$1,141 -81%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $670 +$330 +49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,569 +$1,434 +31%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,535 −$58 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,903 +$1,025 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,608 +$1,755 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,984 +$191 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $578 −$414 -72%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $747 +$503 +67%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12,325 +$1,743 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,261 +$1,409 +33%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,180 −$3,148 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $426 +$33 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14,126 −$3,489 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$18,047
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $266 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $1,300 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 35¢ $714 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 35¢ $714 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 27¢ $269 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 27¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $387 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $92 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $27 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $27 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $40 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 75¢ $220 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 64¢ $644 10m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 13¢ $130 14m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $22 14m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $195 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $190 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 18¢ $12 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 16¢ $98 16m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 21¢ $11 18m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 17¢ $115 19m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 17¢ $116 19m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 17¢ $2 19m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 26¢ $650 23m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 63¢ $581 24m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 58¢ $245 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 +21.0% +9.5% 49% 43% -9.9%
≤30d 184 +23.9% +12.1% 49% 43% -9.4%
≤90d 184 +23.9% +12.1% 49% 43% -9.4%
all 184 +23.9% +12.1% 49% 43% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover395.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.1% 43% -9.4%
10% +1.3% 35% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -8.5% 27% -26.0%
20% -17.4% 18% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31,334.75 · official $31,335.15 (match) · 3500 history records