Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d3e…6eaf
crypto · 1530 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1410 / 119
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1529 / 1530
History coverage37d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1529 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$9
14 days−$27
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$14
other 4% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -2.0% -11.4% 90% 17% -12.6%
≤30d 1279 -1.0% -10.5% 92% 14% -10.6%
≤90d 1529 -0.6% -10.0% 92% 16% -10.2%
all 1529 -0.6% -10.0% 92% 16% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 16% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 5% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.7%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3186 history records