trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 50% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 20% | 7% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 20% | 7% | -9.7% |
| all | 28 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 39% | 7% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 7% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 24 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $67 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +19% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 11 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 07 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 06 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 06 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Apr 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 02 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | Mar 30 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? | Mar 30 | $18 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $17 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or below on March 21? | Mar 21 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump negative approval before March? | Mar 20 | $15 | +$2 | +12% |