trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 65% | 55% | -6.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 59% | 50% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 59% | 50% | -12.9% |
| all | 22 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 59% | 50% | -12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 50% | -12.9% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 50% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 36% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 18% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | No | 93¢ | 67¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-28%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 91¢ | 62¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-31%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$2 | +93% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +46% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +27% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$4 | +97% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |