Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d4e…5ac9
sports · 76 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$131 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98
Realized−$141
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses32 / 39
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions5
Markets (closed)71 / 76
History coverage70d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days−$56
14 days−$73
30 days−$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? No 56¢ 72¢ $57 $73 +$16 (+28%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 12? No 90¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12? No 74¢ 90¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 12? No 71¢ 70¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Michael Zheng 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Alex Michelsen 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys Petra Marcinko 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino Andrea Pellegrino 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakova Simona Waltert 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria Jan-Lennard Struff 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns Sofia Kenin 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Aleksandar Vukic Aleksandar Vukic 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Michael Zheng 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby Jenson Brooksby 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe Eliot Spizzirri 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo Cameron Norrie 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang Shuai Zhang 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Diane Parry 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Darwin Blanch vs Luka Pavlovic Darwin Blanch 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 +$5 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$7 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $25 +$5 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $41 +$9 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $33 −$6 -19%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on June 11? Jun 11 $44 +$7 +16%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$11 +23%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 11 $9 +$4 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $21 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 11 $52 +$2 +3%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $5 +$1 +17%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 1 Jun 10 $1 $0 -26%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 10 $20 −$8 -39%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 10? Jun 10 $51 −$34 -68%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10? Jun 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $5 +$1 +12%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Jurij Rodionov Jun 06 $5 $0 -1%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana Jun 04 $5 +$4 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $10 +$4 +35%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek May 29 $10 −$5 -47%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima May 28 $5 +$2 +33%
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys May 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva May 28 $5 +$2 +41%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $5 +$1 +21%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $5 +$5 +100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria May 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang May 27 $5 +$5 +93%
Roland Garros WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakova May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Ashlyn Krueger May 26 $5 +$7 +139%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff May 26 $5 +$1 +25%
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet May 26 $5 +$2 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 66% −$28
sports 34% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 61¢ $34 24m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 31¢ $14 26m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 72¢ $10 35m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 45¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 42¢ $16 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $5 5h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $4 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12? SELL No 76¢ $5 8h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 93¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 74¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 93¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 93¢ $4 10h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 10h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $20 16h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1 19h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 19h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $50 19h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 12? SELL No 87¢ $7 19h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 12? SELL No 93¢ $3 20h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 84¢ $26 20h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? SELL No 67¢ $17 23h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? SELL No 81¢ $5 25h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? SELL No 80¢ $4 25h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? BUY No 86¢ $33 25h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 27h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $4 27h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-31.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -10.1% -18.6% 62% 46% -19.3%
≤30d 71 -24.4% -31.6% 45% 38% -25.8%
≤90d 71 -24.4% -31.6% 45% 38% -25.8%
all 71 -24.4% -31.6% 45% 38% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.6% 38% -25.8%
10% -38.1% 25% -32.9%
15% -44.1% 18% -39.4%
20% -49.6% 8% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.03 · official $98.03 (match) · 208 history records