Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:11:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d52…ab69
crypto · 48 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$4 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses40 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)40 / 48
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 8 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 96¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 98¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? No 98¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 97¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 99¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4 $0 +4%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3 $0 +16%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Timofey Skatov Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +6%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? Jun 08 $4 $0 +3%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $4 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 6? Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% +$2
politics 11% +$1
world 6% $0
other 6% $0
finance 4% $0
weather 4% $0
sports 3% $0
culture 3% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 96¢ $2 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $3 5h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $2 5h
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 97¢ $2 5h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 96¢ $3 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $2 5h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $2 16h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $3 20h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $3 20h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1 26h
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? BUY No 99¢ $2 26h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $3 27h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $2 27h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $2 27h
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 99¢ $2 27h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $2 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $2 28h
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? BUY No 99¢ $2 28h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 28h
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A SELL Yes 100¢ $5 30h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $3 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $2 39h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 99¢ $2 39h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 98¢ $4 41h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $2 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 41h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $2 41h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.6%
≤30d 40 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 2% -6.6%
≤90d 40 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 2% -6.6%
all 40 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 2% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 2% -6.6%
10% -15.7% 0% -15.6%
15% -23.9% 0% -23.7%
20% -31.3% 0% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.61 · official $27.61 (match) · 106 history records