Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T23:28:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2D 0x2d53…f8dd crypto 1357 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 43d only
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$120 (-0%) realized −$120 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%1285W / 80L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$95per market
Trades / day50.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$13now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$708
7 days−$675
14 days−$642
30 days−$1,300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,004
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 -4.8% -13.8% 93% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 793 -6.2% -15.1% 92% 0% -11.2%
≤90d 1365 -3.9% -13.1% 94% 0% -9.1%
all 1365 -3.9% -13.1% 94% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 0% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 0% -17.8%
15% -29.0% 0% -25.8%
20% -35.9% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$52 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$13
Realized−$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1285 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1365 / 1357
History coverage43d ⚠
Avg bet$95
Trades / day50.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1365 Trades
no open positions (76 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 −$35 -7103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 −$144 -29291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 −$149 -73760%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$143 -28481%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 −$39 -7903%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $36 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.61 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records