Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d61…3fcb
sports · 1559 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$865 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$865 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$865
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses122 / 1334
Est. fees paid−$90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1456 / 1559
History coverage49d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1456 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$54
14 days+$61
30 days+$956
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+4899%)
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4900%)
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
CS Cristal vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SS Juve Stabia vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Fluminense FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fortaleza EC vs. Goiás EC: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Twente '65 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Zenit: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CA Grau vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Lillestrøm SK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $61 +$1 +1%
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $51 $0 +1%
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $52 $0 +1%
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $61 −$43 -70%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -62%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$3 -52%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 −$3 -50%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 +$1 +7%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
OC Safi vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -86%
Cuiabá EC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $2 −$1 -50%
O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 4.5 May 31 $2 −$1 -51%
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5 May 31 $0 $0 +46%
O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 −$1 -50%
CD Los Chankas vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: O/U 2.5 May 31 $1 −$1 -69%
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5 May 31 $2 +$98 +4895%
CD Huachipato vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5 May 31 $1 −$1 -88%
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -82%
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5 May 31 $1 −$1 -82%
FBC Melgar vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
FBC Melgar vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5 May 31 $2 −$1 -50%
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5 May 31 $2 −$1 -50%
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Concepción: O/U 2.5 May 30 $2 −$1 -50%
CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 4.5 May 30 $2 −$1 -50%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
CD Garcilaso vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College: O/U 2.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Club ABB vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5 May 30 $0 +$5 +3647%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $2 −$1 -50%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $2 −$1 -50%
Avaí FC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Avaí FC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
FathUnionSport vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
AD Tarma vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$865
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $61 42m
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $51 44m
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $52 55m
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $55 57m
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $30 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $36 1h
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $101 1h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $54 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $35 1h
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $100 1h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $30 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 1¢ $0 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 1¢ $0 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 1¢ $0 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 56¢ $18 2h
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $51 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $61 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $61 2h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $52 2h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 1¢ $0 2h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 1¢ $0 2h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2¢ $0 2h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2¢ $2 2h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2¢ $2 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2¢ $3 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 1¢ $0 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 2¢ $1 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 2¢ $0 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 2¢ $4 3h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 1¢ $3 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)+8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -28.5% -35.3% 62% 0% -18.8%
≤30d 568 +52.4% +37.9% 11% 9% +7.9%
≤90d 1456 +19.6% +8.2% 8% 7% -17.4%
all 1456 +19.6% +8.2% 8% 7% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.2% 7% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -2.1% 7% -25.3%
15% -11.6% 7% -32.5%
20% -20.3% 7% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.93 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records