Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d6a…8add
sports · 226 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28,635 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,005 · open +$83
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 304 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,005
7 days+$7,005
14 days+$7,005
30 days+$7,005
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 56¢ 54¢ $1,676 $1,614 −$62 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,376 $1,388 +$12 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $1,313 $1,324 +$11 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 80¢ $1,119 $1,136 +$17 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 42¢ $1,059 $1,060 +$1 (+0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $1,022 $1,032 +$11 (+1%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 78¢ $908 $913 +$5 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 68¢ 66¢ $901 $883 −$18 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? No 48¢ 48¢ $840 $841 +$1 (+0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 80¢ 80¢ $728 $736 +$8 (+1%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 78¢ 78¢ $697 $702 +$4 (+1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $669 $673 +$5 (+1%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 89¢ 90¢ $655 $658 +$4 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 66¢ $654 $657 +$3 (+1%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $651 $650 −$1 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 75¢ 76¢ $633 $637 +$4 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 32¢ 32¢ $596 $610 +$14 (+2%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $604 $609 +$4 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $585 $588 +$3 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 68¢ $572 $577 +$4 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 66¢ 66¢ $542 $546 +$4 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 41¢ 42¢ $532 $539 +$7 (+1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $540 $535 −$5 (-1%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 72¢ 72¢ $507 $511 +$4 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 52¢ $503 $510 +$7 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +59%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $0 −$131 -177294%
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1265%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 +$84 +788%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $44 +$65 +146%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $2 +$122 +7205%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 12 $41 +$134 +330%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $44 +$18 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $83 +$830 +1000%
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $233 −$326 -140%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $67 +$431 +646%
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $179 −$89 -50%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $1 −$68 -7145%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $2 +$126 +5729%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $19 +$24 +125%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $92 +$922 +1000%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $47 −$135 -291%
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Jun 12 $3 +$7 +235%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 Jun 12 $150 −$137 -91%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 12 $1 −$1 -121%
Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Jun 12 $66 +$131 +199%
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 12 $80 +$105 +131%
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27? Jun 12 $7 −$69 -980%
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$70 +10563%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $1 +$19 +1696%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 +$19 +389%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $22 −$35 -157%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-26? Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Jun 12 $6 −$50 -811%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $70 +$1,767 +2527%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 12 $39 +$206 +525%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $6 −$45 -742%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regula Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$2,081
other 42% +$464
crypto 1% +$2
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $4 2m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 81¢ $28 2m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $186 3m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ $71 3m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 47¢ $4 3m
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 4m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 18¢ $0 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $27 4m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ $71 5m
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 6m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 45¢ $2 6m
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $8 6m
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 48¢ $8 6m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ $71 6m
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 12¢ $9 6m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 45¢ $10 7m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 21¢ $1 7m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $912 7m
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) BUY Tunisia 74¢ $28 7m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 79¢ $6 7m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 21¢ $1 9m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $248 9m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 81¢ $4 9m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 81¢ $4 10m
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) BUY Brazil 98¢ $16 10m
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY United States 92¢ $12 11m
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY United States 92¢ $246 11m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 11m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 49¢ $2 12m
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 21¢ $20 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+253.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 +291.1% +253.8% 41% 36% +2.9%
≤30d 151 +291.1% +253.8% 41% 36% +2.9%
≤90d 151 +291.1% +253.8% 41% 36% +2.9%
all 151 +291.1% +253.8% 41% 36% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2929.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +253.8% 36% +2.9%
10% ← realistic here +220.0% 32% -7.0%
15% +189.0% 32% -16.0%
20% +160.7% 31% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47,050.87 · official $47,037.96 (match) · 3500 history records