Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d6e…7c47
crypto · 750 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$275 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$275 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$275
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses358 / 392
Open positions0
Markets (closed)750 / 750
History coverage11d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day179.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 750 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days−$184
14 days−$275
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$275
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 631 -10.2% -18.7% 50% 46% -12.3%
≤30d 750 -11.6% -20.0% 48% 44% -13.5%
≤90d 750 -11.6% -20.0% 48% 44% -13.5%
all 750 -11.6% -20.0% 48% 44% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover179.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 44% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 41% -21.7%
15% -34.7% 29% -29.3%
20% -41.1% 21% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2391 history records