Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d8b…260a
crypto · 67 markets active 54d ago
0.0score
+$1,185 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,185 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses38 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
Avg bet$388
Trades / day1077.1
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 16 $587 +$57 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Apr 16 $740 −$123 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Apr 16 $667 −$8 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Apr 16 $118 +$59 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 16 $1,558 −$16 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Apr 16 $377 +$75 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 16 $930 −$170 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 16 $723 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 16 $505 +$49 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Apr 16 $1,002 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Apr 16 $593 −$15 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Apr 16 $777 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Apr 16 $857 −$12 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Apr 16 $377 −$15 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Apr 16 $673 +$45 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Apr 16 $288 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Apr 16 $396 −$29 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Apr 16 $366 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Apr 16 $449 −$64 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Apr 16 $1,573 −$50 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Apr 16 $853 +$60 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Apr 16 $472 +$67 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Apr 16 $565 +$45 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 16 $670 +$36 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Apr 16 $561 +$17 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 16 $570 +$88 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 56d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 56d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $6 56d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 56d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 56d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 67 +4.7% -5.3% 57% 37% -5.4%
all 67 +4.7% -5.3% 57% 37% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1077.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 37% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 24% -14.4%
15% -22.6% 24% -22.7%
20% -30.2% 21% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records