trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 31% | 31% | -72.0% |
| ≤30d | 37 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 41% | 41% | -46.9% |
| ≤90d | 37 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 41% | 41% | -46.9% |
| all | 40 | +15.8% | +4.8% | 42% | 42% | -31.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.8% | 42% | -31.8% |
| 10% | -5.3% | 42% | -38.3% |
| 15% | -14.4% | 42% | -44.3% |
| 20% | -22.8% | 40% | -49.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 38¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $83 | +$33 (+66%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $26 | −$4 (-12%) |
| Spread: Senegal (-3.5) | Senegal | 13¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 32¢ | $9 | $9 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $6 | $7 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Belgium | 23¢ | 10¢ | $15 | $7 | −$8 (-54%) |
| Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 30¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $42 | −$41 | -99% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) | Jun 19 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | Jun 19 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will the next Dutch government be another combination? | Jun 19 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands | Jun 19 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | Jun 19 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Spread: Canada (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | +$21 | +206% |
| Spread: Canada (-3.5) | Jun 19 | $5 | +$26 | +510% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $15 | +$12 | +76% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $14 | +$16 | +114% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $7 | +$10 | +146% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $15 | +$18 | +119% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $21 | +$12 | +60% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $51 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $40 | +$19 | +46% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Jun 12 | $27 | +$33 | +122% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 09 | $15 | +$85 | +567% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 08 | $59 | +$48 | +82% |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Sep 19 | $286 | −$46 | -16% |