Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d94…c35d
crypto · 757 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,457 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,461 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$3,461
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses370 / 797
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1167 / 757
History coverage5d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day574.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,435
7 days−$3,461
14 days−$3,461
30 days−$3,461
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 25¢ 48¢ $4 $9 +$4 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-41.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1167 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 22% -26.3%
≤30d 1167 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 22% -26.3%
≤90d 1167 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 22% -26.3%
all 1167 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 22% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover574.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.9% 22% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -47.5% 15% -33.3%
15% -52.6% 11% -39.8%
20% -57.2% 8% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.55 · official $8.55 (match) · 3500 history records