trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 18% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 18% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 25 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 44% | 0% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 0% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 0% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 01 | $113 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | May 31 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 30 | $37 | −$4 | -10% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 30 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 28 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | Apr 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | Apr 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 17 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 16 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 15 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Apr 14 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21? | Mar 19 | $9 | $0 | -3% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hornets | Mar 04 | $12 | −$6 | -47% |