trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 54% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 54% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 29 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 62% | 0% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 0% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 0% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -32.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 03 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $81 | +$2 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 31 | $37 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $94 | +$2 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 28 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $13 | −$1 | -5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $16 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Dec 23 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days? | Apr 01 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April? | Mar 31 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump meets with Carney in March? | Mar 29 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31? | Mar 27 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Mar 26 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28? | Mar 26 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 22? | Mar 24 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Ha | Mar 20 | $15 | $0 | +2% |