Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:00:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2da1…c82d
crypto · 2163 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1,986 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,994 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$1,994
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1062 / 718
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1780 / 2163
History coverage11d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day218.7
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1780 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$596
7 days+$108
14 days+$1,994
30 days+$1,994
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 46¢ 36¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 39¢ 12¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 34¢ 10¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,616
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 756 +4.2% -5.7% 47% 43% -7.3%
≤30d 1780 +25.4% +13.4% 60% 58% +11.3%
≤90d 1780 +25.4% +13.4% 60% 58% +11.3%
all 1780 +25.4% +13.4% 60% 58% +11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover218.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +13.4% 58% +11.3%
10% ← realistic here +2.6% 57% +0.6%
15% -7.3% 54% -9.1%
20% -16.4% 46% -18.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.78 · official $5.82 (match) · 3500 history records