Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:39:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2da3…f258
sports · 504 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,461 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,767 · open −$1,311
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17,033
Realized+$3,767
Unrealized−$1,311
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses181 / 153
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$1,283
Open positions180
Markets (closed)334 / 504
History coverage2d
Avg bet$229
Trades / day1997.5
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 180 History 334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,767
7 days+$3,767
14 days+$3,767
30 days+$3,767
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 82¢ 86¢ $7,728 $8,175 +$447 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 75¢ 100¢ $2,966 $3,942 +$976 (+33%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 73¢ 86¢ $1,347 $1,586 +$240 (+18%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 18¢ 14¢ $1,456 $1,086 −$370 (-25%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 29¢ 78¢ $84 $222 +$138 (+164%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 93¢ 79¢ $209 $176 −$32 (-15%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 64¢ $135 $170 +$35 (+26%)
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) Misa Esports 24¢ 100¢ $34 $140 +$106 (+311%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 100¢ $90 $126 +$36 (+40%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 53¢ 100¢ $64 $121 +$57 (+90%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 100¢ $59 $121 +$62 (+104%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 34¢ 14¢ $217 $93 −$124 (-57%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 36¢ $102 $76 −$27 (-26%)
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5) WLGaming Esports 29¢ 99¢ $17 $60 +$42 (+243%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C WLGaming Esports 7¢ 21¢ $15 $48 +$33 (+219%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 54¢ 36¢ $51 $34 −$16 (-32%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 76¢ 22¢ $89 $26 −$63 (-70%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 100¢ $17 $24 +$7 (+45%)
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? No 56¢ 78¢ $17 $24 +$7 (+39%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Bo Nickal 73¢ 74¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ 66¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-5%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Ronaldo 33¢ 39¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+18%)
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 60¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+22%)
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Bellucci 48¢ 99¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+106%)
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 52¢ $16 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +84%
Will Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour vs. COD Meknès end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1223%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $8,546 −$475 -6%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs. Johan Alexander Rodriguez: Total Sets Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $9 +$11 +134%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $5 +$10 +178%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $17 +$1 +8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $32 +$3 +8%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $6 +$6 +96%
Daniel Galan vs. Kimmer Coppejans: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $29 +$27 +96%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $212 −$9 -4%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) Jun 12 $8 +$7 +92%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $19 +$6 +30%
Daria Snigur vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $15 −$6 -38%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +144%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $469 +$19 +4%
Set Handicap: Vidmanova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Viktorija Golubic vs. Katie Swan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Raducanu Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Jiri Lehecka vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Set 1 Winner: Tan vs Tararudee Jun 12 $1 +$1 +117%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $19 +$6 +35%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 +$6 +70%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $2 +$3 +178%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak Jun 12 $2 +$3 +186%
Set 1 Winner: Piros vs Daniel Jun 12 $2 +$3 +150%
Harriet Dart vs. Kamilla Rakhimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Rakhimova (-1.5) vs Dart (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Krueger (-1.5) vs Dudeney (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Set Handicap: Samuel (-1.5) vs Holmgren (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Kolar (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set Handicap: Gormaz (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Lajal (-1.5) vs Gea (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,472
other 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 6¢ $0 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 6¢ $2 1m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 65¢ $7 2m
Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Laura Samson: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 59¢ $2 2m
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Grou BUY Power Rangers 81¢ $4 2m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 59¢ $12 2m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $9 2m
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Noir Esports (+1.5) BUY Power Rangers 56¢ $3 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 89¢ $18 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 92¢ $110 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 89¢ $89 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 89¢ $29 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 89¢ $67 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 35¢ $2 4m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $11 4m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 12¢ $127 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 88¢ $53 5m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $10 7m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 7¢ $2 7m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 7¢ $1 7m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 7¢ $4 7m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $1 7m
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 46¢ $2 7m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 7¢ $3 9m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 47¢ $10 9m
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) BUY Houston Astros 30¢ $0 11m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 45¢ $1 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 91¢ $36 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 91¢ $222 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 91¢ $36 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 334 +6.2% -3.9% 54% 39% -5.7%
≤30d 334 +6.2% -3.9% 54% 39% -5.7%
≤90d 334 +6.2% -3.9% 54% 39% -5.7%
all 334 +6.2% -3.9% 54% 39% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1997.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 39% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 36% -14.7%
15% -21.5% 32% -23.0%
20% -29.2% 28% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,032.90 · official $17,032.00 (match) · 3500 history records