Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:18:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2D 0x2dac…7f71 crypto 1628 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d only
✗ bot/MM pace (118 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$134 (+3%) realized +$134 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR78%break-even
Win rate85%1388W / 240L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day118.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$150
14 days−$80
30 days+$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (118 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 628 -7.7% -16.5% 78% 74% -16.1%
≤30d 1628 +1.2% -8.4% 85% 78% -8.5%
≤90d 1628 +1.2% -8.4% 85% 78% -8.5%
all 1628 +1.2% -8.4% 85% 78% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 78% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 15% -17.2%
15% -25.2% 1% -25.2%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1388 / 240
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1628 / 1628
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day118.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1628 Trades
no open positions (64 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records