trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 52% | 52% | -14.2% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 50% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 50% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 42% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 25% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $8 | +$4 | +48% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | +$5 | +228% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$13 | -64% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $15 | +$11 | +73% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$7 | +133% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $28 | +$13 | +46% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $28 | +$13 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $8 | +$2 | +26% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$4 | -81% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$20 | +200% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $23 | +$39 | +170% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |