Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:28:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2dc1…b33c
sports · 152 markets active 21h ago
0.0score
−$66,925 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66,925 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$66,925
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses83 / 69
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$18,387
Open positions0
Markets (closed)152 / 152
History coverage57d
Avg bet$9,547
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 152 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52,566
7 days+$80,922
14 days+$104,109
30 days−$96,288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 55¢ $13,597 $0 −$13,597 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 52¢ $12,866 $0 −$12,866 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 56¢ $17,548 $0 −$17,548 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 61¢ $17,798 $0 −$17,798 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 48¢ $10,766 $0 −$10,766 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 56¢ $18,414 $0 −$18,414 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $9,492 $0 −$9,492 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 34¢ $6,135 $0 −$6,135 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Seattle Mariners 67¢ $28,974 $0 −$28,974 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 59¢ $17,716 $0 −$17,716 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 63¢ $9,815 $0 −$9,815 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 54¢ $13,935 $0 −$13,935 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ $9,670 $0 −$9,670 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Seattle Mariners 60¢ $17,778 $0 −$17,778 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Mets 44¢ $11,681 $0 −$11,681 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 50¢ $11,791 $0 −$11,791 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Detroit Tigers 46¢ $10,128 $0 −$10,128 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 37¢ $12,173 $0 −$12,173 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 58¢ $10,150 $0 −$10,150 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Kansas City Royals 41¢ $9,900 $0 −$9,900 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics Athletics 66¢ $28,696 $0 −$28,696 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 53¢ $13,389 $0 −$13,389 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $32,181 +$14,694 +46%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $9,260 +$11,610 +125%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $9,419 +$11,634 +124%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $12,774 +$10,559 +83%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $6,257 −$6,135 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $17,572 +$10,205 +58%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $20,002 +$9,998 +50%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $12,251 +$9,727 +79%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $10,278 −$10,150 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $17,515 +$9,151 +52%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $23,157 +$9,630 +42%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 05 $13,236 +$7,543 +57%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 04 $15,871 +$7,318 +46%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 03 $9,801 −$9,670 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $9,620 −$9,492 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 31 $20,029 +$7,557 +38%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $5,517 +$7,706 +140%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 30 $4,934 +$4,600 +93%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 30 $11,651 +$7,626 +66%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $11,966 −$11,791 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 25 $18,008 −$17,798 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox May 25 $12,545 +$11,697 +93%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves May 24 $17,934 −$17,716 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs May 24 $13,051 −$12,866 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals May 24 $17,991 −$17,778 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 24 $14,128 −$13,935 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles May 24 $10,293 −$10,128 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 24 $25,349 +$11,574 +46%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres May 24 $10,934 −$10,766 -98%
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins May 24 $15,300 +$11,666 +76%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves May 23 $18,245 +$9,532 +52%
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals May 23 $13,578 −$13,389 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers May 21 $13,779 −$13,597 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 20 $26,904 +$14,192 +53%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 20 $16,657 +$13,644 +82%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels May 20 $17,780 −$17,548 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs May 20 $12,403 −$12,173 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 19 $9,924 −$9,815 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins May 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 May 19 $27,871 +$10,590 +38%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals May 19 $8,996 +$5,819 +65%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 19 $13,533 +$6,467 +48%
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics May 18 $14,152 +$14,420 +102%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 18 $8,635 +$5,823 +67%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 16 $10,073 −$9,900 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox May 16 $10,993 +$5,763 +52%
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros May 16 $2,398 +$1,788 +75%
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves May 16 $16,885 +$5,756 +34%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 16 $12,383 +$14,644 +118%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets May 15 $11,878 −$11,681 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$66,925
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 68¢ $32,181 20h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 44¢ $5,914 37h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $1,386 37h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $11 37h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $284 37h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $1,665 37h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 44¢ $9,419 38h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 34¢ $6,257 38h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 54¢ $12,774 39h
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 63¢ $2,123 45h
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 63¢ $7,785 45h
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 62¢ $7,664 45h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 66¢ $20,002 2d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 55¢ $558 4d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 55¢ $11,693 4d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Texas Rangers 58¢ $10,278 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Seattle Mariners 65¢ $17,515 5d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $1,333 6d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $388 6d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $21,436 6d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 63¢ $13,236 7d
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals BUY St. Louis Cardinals 68¢ $12,523 8d
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals BUY St. Louis Cardinals 67¢ $3,348 8d
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals BUY St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ $9,801 9d
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $5,417 10d
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $29 10d
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $3 10d
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $1 10d
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $1,518 10d
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 55¢ $2,651 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +41.7% +28.2% 82% 82% +33.4%
≤30d 66 -13.7% -21.9% 50% 50% -19.0%
≤90d 152 -1.3% -10.7% 55% 55% -13.7%
all 152 -1.3% -10.7% 55% 55% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 55% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 55% -22.0%
15% -27.1% 53% -29.5%
20% -34.2% 45% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 695 history records