Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2dce…5493
crypto · 1134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$257 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$261 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$261
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses476 / 655
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1131 / 1134
History coverage59d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 1131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$145
7 days−$76
14 days−$76
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 54¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+27%)
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 49¢ 8¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$6 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$250
other 1% +$3
weather 0% −$16
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -8.5% -17.2% 45% 43% -14.8%
≤30d 309 -7.8% -16.6% 46% 43% -14.7%
≤90d 1131 -12.8% -21.1% 42% 35% -14.9%
all 1131 -12.8% -21.1% 42% 35% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 35% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 32% -23.1%
15% -35.6% 29% -30.5%
20% -41.9% 27% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.56 · official $10.53 · 3500 history records