Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:51:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2dd5…6ad4
crypto · 1043 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$108 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses675 / 407
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1082 / 1043
History coverage22d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day111.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1082 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$75
14 days−$83
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +433%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +469%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 -7.9% -16.7% 49% 11% -14.1%
≤30d 1082 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 5% -11.3%
≤90d 1082 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 5% -11.3%
all 1082 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 5% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 5% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 3% -19.8%
15% -28.3% 2% -27.5%
20% -35.3% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records