Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:04:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2de1…d298
crypto · 1171 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$318 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$419 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$419
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses488 / 683
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1171 / 1171
History coverage105d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$13 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$10 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$392
other 1% −$19
sports 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +3.8% -6.1% 50% 47% -9.6%
≤30d 646 -8.7% -17.4% 49% 46% -15.5%
≤90d 1066 -22.9% -30.2% 39% 35% -21.9%
all 1171 -21.9% -29.3% 42% 37% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.3% 37% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.1% 30% -29.4%
15% -42.2% 22% -36.2%
20% -47.9% 14% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3302 history records