Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2df8…7c79
crypto · 1110 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,747 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$465 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$228
Realized−$465
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1008 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1102 / 1110
History coverage14d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day169.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 1102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$121
7 days−$2,590
14 days−$908
30 days−$465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 97¢ 94¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo Atlanta Dream 92¢ 86¢ $36 $33 −$3 (-7%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 96¢ 99¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 94¢ 97¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 95¢ 94¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 97¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 0.5 Over 75¢ 70¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$8 +18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $115 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $119 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $178 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $56 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $225 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $44 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $194 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $78 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $124 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $149 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$870
sports 10% +$207
other 4% +$124
world 2% +$65
politics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 97¢ $100 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Atlanta Dream 92¢ $36 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 21m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $42 34m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 94¢ $9 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 42m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 95¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 46m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 94¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 96¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 616 -6.0% -15.0% 87% 14% -17.9%
≤30d 1102 -0.8% -10.2% 91% 15% -9.9%
≤90d 1102 -0.8% -10.2% 91% 15% -9.9%
all 1102 -0.8% -10.2% 91% 15% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 15% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 6% -18.5%
15% -26.7% 2% -26.4%
20% -33.9% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $228.41 · official $228.41 (match) · 3500 history records