Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e0b…1435
sports · 155 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$478 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$501 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$361
Realized−$501
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses97 / 52
Est. fees paid−$229
Open positions6
Markets (closed)149 / 155
History coverage15d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day217.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$850
7 days−$486
14 days−$331
30 days−$501
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 67¢ 68¢ $105 $105 +$0 (+0%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ 100¢ $70 $98 +$28 (+39%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 65¢ 70¢ $65 $70 +$5 (+8%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 65¢ 66¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 64¢ 48¢ $45 $34 −$11 (-24%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 74¢ 76¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $33 +$12 +35%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $45 +$16 +36%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $51 +$24 +47%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $42 +$18 +42%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $92 +$43 +46%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $85 −$85 -100%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $94 −$94 -100%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $269 −$194 -72%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $93 −$93 -100%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $18 +$7 +39%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $110 +$55 +50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Oscar Brown Jun 11 $4 +$1 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $86 +$54 +63%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $12 +$3 +28%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $8 +$3 +42%
ITF Tokyo: Gaeul Jang vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 11 $178 +$89 +50%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 11 $71 −$71 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $182 +$103 +57%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $185 +$96 +52%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $72 −$72 -100%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $11 +$4 +41%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $11 +$4 +35%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $16 +$6 +38%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $19 +$7 +36%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $68 +$50 +74%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 10 $147 +$63 +43%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
ITF Wuning: Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang Jun 10 $172 −$172 -100%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $173 −$173 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $185 −$185 -100%
ITF Monastir: Julie Myatovic vs Ava Schueller Jun 10 $188 −$188 -100%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $133 +$62 +47%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $22 +$8 +35%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $24 +$10 +42%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $41 +$19 +46%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $191 +$89 +47%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny Jun 10 $68 +$31 +45%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $25 +$9 +37%
ITF Madrid: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Sofia Montesinos Jun 10 $178 +$92 +51%
ITF Tokyo: Renta Tokuda vs Shu Matsuoka Jun 10 $174 −$174 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Xiaoyin Yang vs Evan Zhu Jun 10 $174 +$96 +55%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $172 +$83 +49%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $186 +$99 +53%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Jun 09 $120 +$53 +44%
Lyon: Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas Jun 09 $86 −$86 -100%
ITF Martos: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz Jun 09 $175 −$175 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Timea Gross vs Harsshali Mandavkar Jun 09 $176 −$176 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 09 $55 +$22 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$478
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 59¢ $3 11m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 60¢ $3 11m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 61¢ $3 14m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 62¢ $1 14m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 62¢ $2 14m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 63¢ $3 14m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 64¢ $3 24m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 65¢ $3 26m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 66¢ $3 26m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 67¢ $3 28m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 68¢ $3 29m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 68¢ $3 29m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 68¢ $3 29m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 68¢ $3 29m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 68¢ $3 29m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 66¢ $3 45m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 67¢ $3 46m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ $4 50m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ $4 50m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 69¢ $3 51m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 69¢ $3 51m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ $4 51m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 68¢ $3 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 69¢ $3 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ $2 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ $1 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ $4 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ $4 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ $2 52m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ $1 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +7.6% -2.6% 70% 70% -14.6%
≤30d 149 +8.1% -2.2% 65% 63% -12.0%
≤90d 149 +8.1% -2.2% 65% 63% -12.0%
all 149 +8.1% -2.2% 65% 63% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover217.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 63% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.5% 60% -20.4%
15% -20.1% 56% -28.1%
20% -27.9% 35% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $361.30 · official $361.30 (match) · 3500 history records