Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T20:09:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2e0e…1cb9 other 11 markets active 11d ago coverage 3d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$19 (-38%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate40%4W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day5.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit27%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 78% −$19
sports 22% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 10 -19.1% -26.8% 40% 40% -42.1%
≤90d 10 -19.1% -26.8% 40% 40% -42.1%
all 10 -19.1% -26.8% 40% 40% -42.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 40% -42.1%
10% -33.8% 40% -47.7%
15% -40.2% 40% -52.7%
20% -46.1% 40% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 57% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -36% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -36% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.45 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $6 −$6 -98%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $5 +$4 +70%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $5 +$3 +61%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $3 +$3 +84%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $2 +$4 +194%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 20¢ $4 10d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 10d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06- BUY 7¢ $5 11d
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY 58¢ $5 11d
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 11d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 11d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 62¢ $3 12d
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $3 12d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 82¢ $8 12d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 13d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 13d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 13d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 13d
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 68¢ $6 13d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 40¢ $6 13d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 13d
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 36¢ $3 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records