trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -31.3% | -37.9% | 62% | 25% | -13.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 77% | 23% | -12.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 80% | 20% | -12.2% |
| all | 15 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 80% | 20% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.2% | 20% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -29.7% | 13% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -36.5% | 0% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 0% | -35.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3,390 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 17 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$32 | +32% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $605 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $500 | +$7 | +1% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Jun 06 | $299 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Jun 06 | $299 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Jun 04 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? | May 30 | $100 | +$23 | +23% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | May 25 | $299 | +$18 | +6% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | May 17 | $101 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | May 04 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |