Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e0f…912b
crypto · 240 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$50 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses104 / 136
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage106d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$40
sports 3% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -19.3% -27.0% 44% 41% -22.8%
≤30d 239 -19.3% -27.0% 44% 41% -22.8%
≤90d 239 -19.3% -27.0% 44% 41% -22.8%
all 240 -19.6% -27.3% 43% 40% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.3% 40% -23.0%
10% -34.2% 35% -30.4%
15% -40.6% 29% -37.1%
20% -46.4% 22% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 431 history records