trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 50% | 0% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 33% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 33% | 0% | -8.6% |
| all | 22 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 55% | 5% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 5% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 5% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 5% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 5% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $94 | +$5 | +6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 17 | $104 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 02 | $22 | +$1 | +5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 31 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved? | Apr 15 | $12 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 15 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Apr 12 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Apr 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |