Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e4d…9e0b
sports · 182 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses14 / 168
Open positions0
Markets (closed)182 / 182
Avg bet$54
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 0 History 182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $44 −$1 -1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $95 $0 +0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 18 $109 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 15 $44 $0 +0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Mar 15 $93 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 15 $101 $0 -0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Mar 14 $52 $0 -1%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Mar 13 $204 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 13 $43 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 13 $160 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 12 $46 $0 -0%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Mar 12 $51 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? Mar 11 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 11 $45 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 10 $362 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 10 $107 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 10 $42 $0 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Mar 10 $43 $0 -0%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Mar 09 $93 −$1 -1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 08 $110 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 08 $154 $0 -0%
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 07 $53 $0 -0%
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 07 $54 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 07 $53 $0 -0%
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Mar 06 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 06 $99 $0 +0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 05 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 05 $51 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 05 $139 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 04 $152 $0 +0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 03 $95 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 02 $23 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Mar 02 $53 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Mar 02 $226 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Mar 02 $191 $0 -0%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 27 $151 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? Feb 27 $27 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Feb 27 $96 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Feb 27 $54 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? Feb 27 $48 $0 -0%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 26 $227 $0 -0%
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? Feb 26 $56 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 26 $297 $0 -0%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 25 $117 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Feb 22 $13 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? Feb 22 $52 $0 -0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 22 $100 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Feb 22 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 22 $59 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 22 $53 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 27% −$5
politics 22% −$2
other 18% −$1
economics 10% $0
world 8% −$3
crypto 8% $0
culture 5% −$1
tech 2% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 94¢ $43 3h
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 95¢ $44 8h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 95¢ $43 13d
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 94¢ $42 13d
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $46 24d
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $46 25d
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 93¢ $44 88d
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 93¢ $44 88d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom SELL No 92¢ $48 88d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom BUY No 92¢ $48 89d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $47 89d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $47 89d
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 95¢ $51 89d
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $52 89d
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? SELL No 98¢ $50 90d
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? BUY No 98¢ $50 90d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $43 90d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $43 91d
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 97¢ $49 91d
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 97¢ $50 91d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March SELL Yes 98¢ $46 91d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March BUY Yes 98¢ $46 91d
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? SELL No 98¢ $51 91d
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? BUY No 98¢ $51 92d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom SELL No 91¢ $45 92d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom BUY No 91¢ $45 92d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 95¢ $54 92d
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $54 92d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? SELL No 97¢ $50 92d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? BUY No 97¢ $50 92d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -1.4% -10.8% 0% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 3 -0.5% -9.9% 33% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 7 -0.4% -9.9% 14% 0% -9.8%
all 182 -0.1% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 664 history records