Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:00:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2e55…c549 crypto 1241 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (108 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,230 (-27%) realized −$1,230 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate54%665W / 576L
Drawdown51%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day107.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$57
14 days+$218
30 days+$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (108 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 664 +0.3% -9.2% 53% 41% -7.8%
≤30d 1241 +5.6% -4.4% 54% 43% -5.8%
≤90d 1241 +5.6% -4.4% 54% 43% -5.8%
all 1241 +5.6% -4.4% 54% 43% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover107.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 43% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 36% -14.8%
15% -21.9% 28% -23.0%
20% -29.6% 21% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses665 / 576
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1241 / 1241
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day107.5
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1241 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$4 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$22 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$14 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$7 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$4 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$2 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$2 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $9.43 · 3500 history records