trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 33% | 33% | +16.3% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 38% | 38% | +12.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 38% | 38% | +12.7% |
| all | 13 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 38% | 38% | +12.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.3% | 38% | +12.7% |
| 10% | -10.7% | 23% | +1.9% |
| 15% | -19.4% | 23% | -7.9% |
| 20% | -27.3% | 15% | -16.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec gen | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$1 | -33% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $171 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $82 | +$85 | +104% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $25 | +$10 | +41% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $46 | +$9 | +19% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 08 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 08 | $5 | +$6 | +117% |