Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e66…84af
crypto · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$41 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$109 · open +$68
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized−$109
Unrealized+$68
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses31 / 54
Open positions1
Markets (closed)85 / 86
History coverage123d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$50
14 days−$50
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 0¢ 59¢ $0 $68 +$68 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 15 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 15 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Mar 15 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Mar 15 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 15 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 15 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Mar 15 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Mar 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Mar 15 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Mar 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Mar 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Mar 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 88d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 88d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-43.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -41.4% -47.0% 42% 38% -60.6%
≤30d 24 -41.4% -47.0% 42% 38% -60.6%
≤90d 80 -38.3% -44.2% 36% 34% -57.2%
all 85 -38.0% -43.9% 36% 34% -56.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -43.9% 34% -56.2%
10% -49.3% 33% -60.4%
15% -54.2% 26% -64.2%
20% -58.7% 22% -67.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.82 · official $0.00 · 169 history records