Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:55:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e78…067e
sports · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$5,497 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,987 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,987
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses18 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,239
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage15d
Avg bet$1,445
Trades / day68.3
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,365
7 days+$2,961
14 days+$2,983
30 days+$2,987
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+48%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 55¢ $554 $0 −$554 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims) Yi Sak Lee 19¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Over 35¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 22¢ $535 $0 −$535 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 72¢ $1,047 $0 −$1,047 (-100%)
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Under 15¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 26¢ $777 $0 −$777 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Under 36¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ $1,577 $0 −$1,577 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2,409 −$228 -10%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2,331 +$44 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $276 +$19 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $634 −$548 -86%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $7,041 −$670 -10%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $4,476 −$1,215 -27%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $900 −$16 -2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5,859 +$234 +4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $319 +$30 +9%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $602 +$21 +4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $32 +$9 +28%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $200 +$12 +6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2,402 +$14 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5,393 +$61 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $967 −$764 -79%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1,612 +$6,622 +411%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3,089 +$188 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,094 −$475 -43%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $316 +$28 +9%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,300 −$131 -6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $166 −$166 -100%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $232 +$30 +13%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $137 +$19 +14%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $25 +$2 +9%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $143 +$25 +17%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 May 31 $54 −$54 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) May 30 $180 +$24 +13%
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelim May 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$2,982
other 3% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 98¢ $1,232 59m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $99 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $201 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $201 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $201 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $186 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $201 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $36 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $39 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 19¢ $265 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $200 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $75 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $4 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $28 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $9 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)+40.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +78.4% +61.4% 57% 13% +2.2%
≤30d 30 +55.6% +40.8% 60% 23% +2.0%
≤90d 30 +55.6% +40.8% 60% 23% +2.0%
all 30 +55.6% +40.8% 60% 23% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.8% 23% +2.0%
10% +27.3% 10% -7.8%
15% ← realistic here +15.0% 7% -16.7%
20% +3.8% 7% -24.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $0.00 (match) · 1020 history records