Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T05:40:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2e98…9046 crypto 754 markets active 2h ago coverage 246d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,618 (+0%) realized +$1,618 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate82%619W / 135L
Whale WR95%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,569per market
Trades / day10.3pace
Fees−$328est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$137
7 days+$1,001
14 days+$2,614
30 days−$797
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 54% +$5,940
sports 31% −$4,905
other 14% +$364
politics 0% −$27
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +0.6% -9.0% 97% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 222 -2.2% -11.5% 91% 6% -9.8%
≤90d 500 -1.0% -10.4% 94% 3% -9.7%
all 754 +1.7% -8.0% 82% 6% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 6% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 5% -18.1%
15% -24.9% 4% -26.0%
20% -32.2% 3% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 95% (≥$1,980) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$148 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

246d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,618
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses619 / 135
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$328
Open positions0
Markets (closed)754 / 754
History coverage246d
Avg bet$1,569
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 754 Trades
no open positions (105 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 24 $4,057 +$4 +0%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $3,656 +$4 +0%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? Jun 24 $893 +$9 +1%
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia? Jun 24 $8,153 +$8 +0%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 23 $7,920 +$80 +1%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 23 $1,468 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Algeria? Jun 23 $4,989 +$5 +0%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $8,951 +$9 +0%
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq? Jun 23 $463 +$8 +2%
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Iraq? Jun 23 $58 +$1 +2%
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Jun 23 $8,414 +$8 +0%
Iraq leading at halftime? Jun 22 $1,799 $0 -0%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 21? Jun 22 $125 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 21? Jun 22 $1,341 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 21? Jun 22 $69 $0 +0%
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt? Jun 22 $3,972 +$4 +0%
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Cabo Verde? Jun 22 $3,393 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 21 $8,913 +$9 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 21 $6,903 +$7 +0%
Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 3 Japan? Jun 21 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan? Jun 21 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 21 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao? Jun 21 $1,514 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 21 $203 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 21 $2,018 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao? Jun 21 $1,080 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 21 $204 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 21 $3,856 +$4 +0%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5 Jun 20 $239 +$1 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5 Jun 20 $223 +$2 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5 Jun 20 $543 +$12 +2%
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5 Jun 20 $65 $0 +0%
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 20 $2,112 +$2 +0%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $5,101 +$5 +0%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5 Jun 19 $8,772 +$86 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 Jun 19 $8,066 +$701 +9%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $4,037 +$4 +0%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 17 $4,020 +$4 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5 Jun 17 $64 $0 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5 Jun 17 $3,676 +$4 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5 Jun 17 $1,067 +$1 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5 Jun 17 $69 $0 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5 Jun 17 $148 $0 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5 Jun 17 $780 +$1 +0%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $8,040 +$8 +0%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5 Jun 16 $15 $0 +1%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 172.5 Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $780 +$1,220 +156%
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5 Jun 16 $3,301 +$34 +1%
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5 Jun 16 $119 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 100¢ $31 1h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 100¢ $2,889 1h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 100¢ $225 1h
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 100¢ $903 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $102 2h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $3,003 2h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $533 2h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $2 2h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $16 2h
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia? BUY No 100¢ $8,153 4h
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY No 99¢ $825 5h
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY No 99¢ $2 5h
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY No 99¢ $3 5h
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY No 99¢ $63 5h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $101 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $117 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $7,610 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $6 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $8 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $30 10h
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $33 10h
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $1,150 24h
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $3,839 24h
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $477 24h
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $129 24h
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $90 24h
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $120 25h
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY No 100¢ $64 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3168 history records