Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:16:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e9b…2171
crypto · 128 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15,233 +133%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,234 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$89
Realized+$15,234
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses340 / 281
Open positions2
Markets (closed)621 / 128
History coverage1d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day3369.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 621 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15,234
7 days+$15,234
14 days+$15,234
30 days+$15,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 63¢ 69¢ $43 $47 +$4 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 35¢ 30¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 52¢ 42¢ $15 $13 −$3 (-18%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 50¢ 57¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 67¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 44¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 72¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 32¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 21¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 43¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 35¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 40¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 46¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 35¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 62¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 16¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 35¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 39¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 35¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 22¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 75¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$384 -190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$70 -455%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$91 +387%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$116 +304%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$18 -642%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$34 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$46 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$89 -128%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$15 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$130 +331%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$177 +1552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$144 -163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$225 +2170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$326 +12371%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $188 −$198 -106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$42 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$18 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$83 -134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$35 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$49 +1248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$192 +2129%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$30 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$146 -228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$144 +696%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$85 +1357%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$128 +1044%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $216 −$285 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$225 +1403%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$71 +2424%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$54 +596%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$11 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$178 +4685%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$51 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$58 +1119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$27 -140%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$45 +16852%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$361 +3032%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$144 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$25 -117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$155 +583%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$231 +2018%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$65 +142%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+334.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 621 +379.9% +334.2% 55% 48% +35.2%
≤30d 621 +379.9% +334.2% 55% 48% +35.2%
≤90d 621 +379.9% +334.2% 55% 48% +35.2%
all 621 +379.9% +334.2% 55% 48% +35.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3369.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +334.2% 48% +35.2%
10% ← realistic here +292.6% 46% +22.2%
15% +254.7% 43% +10.4%
20% +219.9% 42% -0.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.41 · official $87.41 · 3500 history records