Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T01:45:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
2E 0x2e9b…c29c crypto 55 markets active 2h ago coverage 525d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate72%39W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$120per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$65now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 84% −$5
crypto 11% $0
politics 3% $0
economics 1% $0
sports 1% $0
tech 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 6 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 54 +0.0% -9.5% 72% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.25 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

525d coverage
Net worth$65
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses39 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)54 / 55
History coverage525d
Avg bet$120
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 54 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana reach $100 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $65 $65 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 02 $13 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 02 $52 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April? May 04 $11 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April? May 04 $49 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $140 in March? Apr 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will BNB dip to $400 in March? Apr 02 $50 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? Mar 03 $7 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February? Mar 03 $9 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February? Mar 03 $48 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? Feb 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $210 in January? Feb 02 $48 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December? Jan 02 $60 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? Dec 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? Dec 03 $47 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Nov 03 $15 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? Nov 03 $41 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? Oct 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September? Oct 03 $16 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September? Oct 03 $33 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $150 in August? Sep 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? Sep 02 $18 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August? Sep 02 $38 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $5.0 in July? Aug 03 $4 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $100 in July? Aug 03 $14 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $130 in July? Aug 03 $48 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June? Jul 02 $16 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? Jun 03 $13 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? Jun 03 $22 $0 +0%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 20% on April 30? May 05 $2 $0 +2%
U.S. recession before May 2025? May 05 $7 $0 +0%
Will Xi visit the US before May? May 05 $9 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $210 in April? May 05 $9 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap May 05 $9 $0 +1%
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May? May 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary elect Apr 15 $39 $0 -0%
Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentar Apr 15 $41 $0 -0%
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year? Apr 15 $30 $0 -0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? Apr 15 $33 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days? Apr 14 $40 $0 -0%
Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian elec Apr 09 $28 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $3.10 in March? Apr 02 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum all time high by March 31? Apr 02 $25 $0 +0%
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 18 $5,310 −$5 -0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 20 Mar 05 $17 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025? Mar 03 $21 $0 +0%
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend Feb 22 $23 $0 -0%
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League? Feb 22 $20 $0 -0%
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany? Feb 22 $24 $0 -0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? Feb 21 $27 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by January 31? Feb 16 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana reach $100 in June? BUY No 100¢ $65 1h
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $13 30d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $52 30d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April? BUY No 99¢ $11 61d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April? BUY No 100¢ $49 62d
Will Solana reach $140 in March? BUY No 100¢ $10 91d
Will BNB dip to $400 in March? BUY No 100¢ $50 92d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? BUY No 100¢ $7 120d
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February? BUY No 100¢ $9 122d
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February? BUY No 100¢ $48 123d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? BUY No 100¢ $9 149d
Will Solana reach $210 in January? BUY No 100¢ $48 151d
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December? BUY No 100¢ $15 181d
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December? BUY No 100¢ $45 182d
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? BUY No 100¢ $11 211d
Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? BUY No 100¢ $47 212d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $15 243d
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? BUY No 100¢ $41 243d
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? BUY No 100¢ $11 271d
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September? BUY No 100¢ $16 272d
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September? BUY No 100¢ $33 273d
Will Solana dip to $150 in August? BUY No 100¢ $5 300d
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? BUY No 100¢ $18 302d
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August? BUY No 100¢ $38 302d
Will XRP reach $5.0 in July? BUY No 100¢ $4 332d
Will Solana dip to $100 in July? BUY No 100¢ $14 333d
Will Solana dip to $130 in July? BUY No 100¢ $48 333d
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June? BUY No 97¢ $16 366d
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? BUY No 100¢ $13 392d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? BUY No 100¢ $3 393d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.86 · official $64.86 (match) · 115 history records