Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eac…3cf9
crypto · 140 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$104 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open −$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$41
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses54 / 83
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions3
Markets (closed)137 / 140
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day545.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 3 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 2¢ 0¢ $27 $1 −$27 (-98%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 4¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-99%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $21 −$8 -40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $84 −$4 -4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $34 −$3 -10%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$5 -19%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $10 −$4 -37%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% −$72
crypto 25% −$17
other 12% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 8¢ $1 27m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 5¢ $2 27m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 5¢ $2 28m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 5¢ $2 28m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 5¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 59¢ $73 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 38¢ $25 28m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Zdenek Kolar 33¢ $10 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 36¢ $8 28m
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz SELL KT Wiz 61¢ $8 28m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 42¢ $2 28m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 52¢ $2 28m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Tatiana Prozorova 62¢ $2 28m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana SELL Mary Stoiana 76¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $5 28m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 46¢ $7 28m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana SELL Lulu Sun 20¢ $1 28m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 18¢ $20 28m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 2¢ $6 28m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Sinja Kraus 37¢ $2 28m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 5¢ $1 28m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 4¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $3 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $2 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -8.3% -17.0% 39% 25% -14.5%
≤30d 137 -8.3% -17.0% 39% 25% -14.5%
≤90d 137 -8.3% -17.0% 39% 25% -14.5%
all 137 -8.3% -17.0% 39% 25% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover545.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 25% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 12% -22.7%
15% -32.2% 2% -30.2%
20% -38.8% 1% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.94 · official $0.94 (match) · 556 history records