Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:40:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eb8…310f
crypto · 1373 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,094 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,094 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$250
Realized−$18,094
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1331 / 213
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1544 / 1373
History coverage15d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day140.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1544 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16,412
7 days−$16,969
14 days−$17,064
30 days−$18,094
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $147 $150 +$3 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $318 $0 −$318 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $218 −$218 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $318 −$318 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$20 -2532%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $343 −$343 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$7 -223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$231 -15711%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $294 −$294 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,723
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1149 -15.2% -23.3% 83% 0% -26.2%
≤30d 1544 -11.7% -20.1% 86% 1% -18.8%
≤90d 1544 -11.7% -20.1% 86% 1% -18.8%
all 1544 -11.7% -20.1% 86% 1% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover140.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 1% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 0% -26.5%
15% -34.7% 0% -33.6%
20% -41.1% 0% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $250.00 · official $250.00 (match) · 3500 history records