trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 33% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $96 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 22 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 04 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 21 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 17 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 12 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 09 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Apr 14 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 08 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 06 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 22 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 17 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 13 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 10 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 04 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 02 | $98 | $0 | +0% |