trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 18 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 03 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 27 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 17 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 12 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 08 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 13 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 08 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 28 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Mar 24 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 13 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 10 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 05 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 02 | $104 | $0 | +0% |