Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ed3…4589
crypto · 49 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,585 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,873 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,094
Realized−$2,873
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses9 / 498
Open positions2
Markets (closed)507 / 49
Avg bet$5,049
Trades / day923.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 507 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,878
7 days−$2,873
14 days−$2,873
30 days−$2,873
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $2,047 $2,047 −$1 (-0%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 97¢ 97¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% −$1
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $61 4m
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $12 5m
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 8m
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $19 10m
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 97¢ $14 19m
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 97¢ $14 19m
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $1,046 53m
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $5 59m
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $5 1h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $1 1h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $24 1h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $280 1h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $71 2h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $907 2h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $796 2h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $1,668 2h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 97¢ $455 3h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 97¢ $455 3h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 97¢ $434 3h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 97¢ $490 3h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $289 4h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $786 4h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $575 4h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $43 4h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $1,073 5h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 97¢ $55 5h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 97¢ $56 5h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 97¢ $108 5h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 96¢ $77 5h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 97¢ $67 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-94.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 507 -94.0% -94.6% 2% 2% -98.9%
≤30d 507 -94.0% -94.6% 2% 2% -98.9%
≤90d 507 -94.0% -94.6% 2% 2% -98.9%
all 507 -94.0% -94.6% 2% 2% -98.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover923.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -94.6% 2% -98.9%
10% ← realistic here -95.1% 2% -99.0%
15% -95.6% 2% -99.1%
20% -96.0% 2% -99.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,093.57 · official $2,093.57 (match) · 3500 history records