Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ee1…ef67
other · 17 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$180 +30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$141 · open +$32
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$417
Realized+$141
Unrealized+$32
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions6
Markets (closed)11 / 17
History coverage8d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 6 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$104
7 days+$151
14 days+$141
30 days+$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $110 $128 +$18 (+16%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $100 $124 +$24 (+24%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $100 $95 −$5 (-5%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $25 +$39 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$40 +388%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$34 +325%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $19 +$42 +216%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $43 +$2 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $16 −$15 -96%
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $16 +$63 +406%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% +$82
sports 18% +$67
crypto 17% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+72.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +109.1% +89.2% 60% 50% +61.4%
≤30d 11 +90.1% +72.0% 55% 45% +53.4%
≤90d 11 +90.1% +72.0% 55% 45% +53.4%
all 11 +90.1% +72.0% 55% 45% +53.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +72.0% 45% +53.4%
10% +55.5% 45% +38.7%
15% +40.5% 45% +25.3%
20% +26.7% 45% +13.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $417.02 · official $417.02 (match) · 33 history records