Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ee5…6529
crypto · 435 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,590 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,590 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,590
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses237 / 198
Open positions0
Markets (closed)435 / 435
History coverage55d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 435 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$129
14 days−$110
30 days−$912
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $256 $0 −$256 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$12 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,590
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -0.4% -9.9% 64% 55% -20.0%
≤30d 316 -8.0% -16.8% 55% 50% -25.0%
≤90d 435 -6.1% -15.1% 54% 50% -22.3%
all 435 -6.1% -15.1% 54% 50% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 50% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 42% -29.7%
15% -30.6% 32% -36.5%
20% -37.4% 24% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1821 history records