Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eef…eaca
other · 553 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,203 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$859 · open −$2,271
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,355
Realized−$859
Unrealized−$2,271
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses158 / 365
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions30
Markets (closed)523 / 553
History coverage161d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 30 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$209
7 days+$386
14 days−$291
30 days−$1,355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 94¢ 100¢ $468 $497 +$30 (+6%)
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 94¢ 99¢ $350 $370 +$21 (+6%)
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $359 $360 +$1 (+0%)
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 76¢ 96¢ $183 $232 +$49 (+27%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 91¢ 67¢ $274 $201 −$73 (-27%)
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 87¢ 98¢ $122 $137 +$16 (+13%)
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 91¢ 98¢ $91 $98 +$8 (+8%)
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 80¢ 98¢ $80 $98 +$18 (+23%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 71¢ 89¢ $71 $89 +$18 (+25%)
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 51¢ 57¢ $31 $35 +$4 (+12%)
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 88¢ 64¢ $44 $32 −$12 (-28%)
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 25¢ 100¢ $8 $30 +$22 (+297%)
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+2%)
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 15¢ 39¢ $9 $24 +$14 (+157%)
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 79¢ 56¢ $33 $23 −$10 (-29%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 50¢ 8¢ $98 $17 −$81 (-83%)
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? No 57¢ 76¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+34%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 84¢ 89¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+5%)
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? Yes 40¢ 10¢ $32 $8 −$24 (-74%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 45¢ 36¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-21%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 44¢ 12¢ $20 $6 −$14 (-72%)
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 50¢ 64¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $987 −$126 -13%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $105 −$6 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $471 +$24 +5%
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $76 +$3 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $553 +$38 +7%
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12 Jun 11 $173 +$25 +14%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 11 $64 −$42 -65%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 11 $950 −$10 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1,241 −$112 -9%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $316 −$14 -4%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $47 +$1 +2%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $178 +$30 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,426 +$150 +10%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $161 +$9 +6%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $454 +$48 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $581 +$48 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,225 −$338 -28%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $33 −$33 -99%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $82 −$21 -26%
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $166 −$166 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $124 −$49 -40%
Will Trump say "Get Out And Vote" during Tele-Rally? Jun 08 $16 +$4 +23%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2,078 +$481 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $844 +$81 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $376 +$23 +6%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $208 −$94 -45%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $514 −$514 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $1,747 +$402 +23%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 06 $202 −$103 -51%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $97 +$62 +64%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $299 +$27 +9%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $83 +$16 +19%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $372 −$19 -5%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $6 +$1 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $2,227 +$634 +28%
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $4 +$2 +41%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $142 +$7 +5%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 05 $7 −$7 -96%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 05 $31 −$21 -66%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026? Jun 05 $2 $0 -10%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 05 $5 +$1 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026? Jun 05 $2 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026? Jun 04 $1 $0 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? Jun 04 $2 +$1 +49%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $197 −$23 -12%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% −$2,061
politics 13% −$805
world 2% −$151
weather 1% −$7
crypto 0% −$115
tech 0% −$36
culture 0% −$21
economics 0% +$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $89 38m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $38 40m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $147 40m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $11 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $42 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 50¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 45¢ $68 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $38 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $22 1h
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June SELL Yes 15¢ $5 18h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 32¢ $62 21h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $40 21h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 48¢ $23 21h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 35¢ $13 21h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 37¢ $76 21h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 91¢ $90 21h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 35¢ $35 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $40 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $16 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $8 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $13 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $9 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $0 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $6 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $40 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $40 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -17.4% -25.2% 52% 24% -7.6%
≤30d 303 -53.9% -58.3% 21% 16% -13.9%
≤90d 484 -23.6% -30.9% 26% 23% -12.6%
all 523 -19.3% -27.0% 30% 26% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.0% 26% -11.9%
10% -34.0% 23% -20.3%
15% -40.3% 20% -28.0%
20% -46.2% 18% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,355.07 · official $2,355.08 (match) · 2858 history records