Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ef2…7f72
other · 212 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$48,873 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58,325 · open +$11,440
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24,698
Realized−$58,325
Unrealized+$11,440
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses75 / 229
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$113
Open positions45
Markets (closed)304 / 212
History coverage193d
Avg bet$2,347
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 45 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,220
7 days−$36,438
14 days−$49,872
30 days−$54,219
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 68¢ $192 $3,420 +$3,228 (+1678%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 52¢ $500 $2,575 +$2,075 (+415%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 42¢ $500 $2,125 +$1,625 (+325%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 40¢ $500 $2,025 +$1,525 (+305%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 35¢ $500 $1,750 +$1,250 (+250%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 29¢ $192 $1,450 +$1,258 (+654%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 26¢ $192 $1,275 +$1,083 (+563%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 22¢ $192 $1,075 +$883 (+459%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 18¢ $192 $925 +$733 (+381%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 18¢ $192 $925 +$733 (+381%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 18¢ $192 $875 +$683 (+355%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 16¢ $192 $775 +$583 (+303%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $192 $625 +$433 (+225%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $192 $625 +$433 (+225%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 10¢ $192 $525 +$333 (+173%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $500 $525 +$25 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 10¢ $192 $525 +$333 (+173%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $500 $400 −$100 (-20%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 8¢ $192 $375 +$183 (+95%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $192 $282 +$90 (+47%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $192 $262 +$70 (+37%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 12¢ 5¢ $594 $255 −$340 (-57%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $192 $225 +$33 (+17%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $192 $118 −$75 (-39%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $192 $112 −$80 (-41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$188 -1763%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$70 -182%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 19? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $2,545 −$1,479 -58%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$77 -199%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29? Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 12 $480 −$470 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$67 -175%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 26? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$77 -199%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$73 -189%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 19? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 21? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 12 $92 −$496 -537%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$56 -146%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $179 −$192 -107%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $166 −$192 -116%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$77 -199%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$69 -576%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 18? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 17? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 16? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 29? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 22? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$77 -199%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 12 $123 −$492 -401%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 19? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 25? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$29,562
crypto 44% −$3,708
sports 6% −$1,422
world 1% +$32
finance 0% $0
weather 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 3h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 9h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 9h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 9h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 10h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $11 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $41 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 10h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 10h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 13h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 13h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 13h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 13h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 13h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $86 13h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $23 13h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 13h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-55.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -75.2% -77.6% 4% 1% -60.4%
≤30d 172 -49.9% -54.6% 18% 8% -33.9%
≤90d 185 -47.7% -52.7% 21% 8% -27.9%
all 304 -50.4% -55.1% 25% 7% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.1% 7% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -59.4% 6% -27.2%
15% -63.3% 5% -34.2%
20% -66.9% 4% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24,698.11 · official $24,699.61 (match) · 3500 history records