Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:05:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ef8…c646
crypto · 304 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$257 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$257 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$257
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses124 / 184
Open positions0
Markets (closed)308 / 304
History coverage14d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day222.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$76
7 days−$127
14 days−$131
30 days−$257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$14 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $38 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $38 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$239
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 -2.1% -11.4% 37% 5% -11.3%
≤30d 308 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 6% -12.3%
≤90d 308 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 6% -12.3%
all 308 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 6% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover222.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 6% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 1% -20.7%
15% -27.8% 0% -28.3%
20% -34.9% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records